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Archive for October, 2010

Posted by Zac Wright On Oct - 27 - 2010 0 Comment

The EUR fell 0.7 percent and the AUD 0.6 percent versus the yen, and the European currency triggered automatic sell orders as it headed down to 112.00 JPY, with more sell stops expected below that threshold.

One dealer stated yen demand at Tokyo’s 0100 GMT fixing as well as rumots of dollar selling by overseas hedge funds who had bought the pair the day before were assisting to push the Japanese currency nearer to Monday’s 15-year peak of 80.41 yen per dollar.

But the majors were broadly in the ranges that have confined them in the past few weeks as investors wait to see if the Fed says next week that it will indeed resume quantitative easing as many expect, and if so, in what capacity and over what time horizon.

“Overall the moves seem to be of the position unwinding variety,” said a trader for a Japanese brokerage house.

Japanese shares also declined, with the benchmark Nikkei average down 1.7 percent, making some folks speculate it could cause the dollar’s fall as the market might become cautious of a Japanese yen-selling initiative.

A falling share market is seen as one of the conditions which could force Japanese authorities to intervene, after they did so in September to counter a push higher in the JPY.

There was speculation, however, that there might be stop-loss sell orders below the 80.41 yen level, where a break would raise chances of an eventual test of the dollar’s postwar record low of 79.75 yen.

Posted by Zac Wright On Oct - 27 - 2010 0 Comment

If you have money in mutual funds, Treasury bonds, municipal bonds or high-yield bonds, Robert Prechter has just issued a crystal-clear warning for you: Your money could be at risk.

Prechter, the famed market forecaster who specializes in Elliott wave analysis, sent similar warnings about the Nasdaq in 2000, real estate in 2006, the blue chips in 2007 and commodities in 2008. His forecasts proved deadly accurate.

Why worry about the safety of bonds, you ask? Full post…

Posted by Olivia Carrodus On Oct - 26 - 2010 0 Comment

First Forex TV Is a Web TV Channel which focuses on the Forex community,Included are reviews of main events, interviews with key industry professionals, coverage of the world championships and in depth reviews & analysis of Interesting EAs and market conditions.

This show covers the 3rd week in the Automated Trading Championship by MetaQuotes

The show is sponsered By PrizmaL2040 EA

Posted by Isabelle Gill On Oct - 26 - 2010 0 Comment

In addressing the financial/credit/economic crisis, governments around the world have lowered interest rates, bailed-out bankrupt financial insititutions, engaged in wholesale money printing, guaranteed debt, and pumped cash into their economies. However, while such programs may have had some mitigating impact on the crisis, they did little to address the underlying cause. Specifically, debt was merely moved from one institution – one balance sheet – to another. Most of the bad debt that was at the heart of the credit crisis is still outstanding; the only thing that has changed is who is responsible for repaying it.

In many cases, it is governments which have assumed ownership of this debt. Fan

Full post…

Posted by Zac Wright On Oct - 23 - 2010 0 Comment

The U.S. Dollar held stead in Asian trading today, even as the meeting of the Group of 20 finance ministers sits for their first policy session in South Korea. Many investors speculate that there will be little progress regarding the question of aggressive currency devaluation. 

Even the U.S. Treasury Secretary commented that this process is an ongoing one. As reported at 1:35 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the U.S. Do

Full post…

Posted by Isabelle Gill On Oct - 22 - 2010 0 Comment

Since touching a four-year low in June, the Euro has risen a whopping 19% against the Dollar – a veritable surge! One has to wonder, however, if perhaps the Euro hasn’t gotten ahead of itself in its race back upward.

The Euro’s nonstop rise has perplexed me. During the throes of the Eurozone Sovereign debt crisis, it seemed as if the Euro was headed back towards parity, if it even remained in existence! The European Commission’s $500 Billion bailout plan seemed to assuage the markets, but didn’t do much to mitigate against the risk of sovereign default. Besides,

Full post…

Tags: Euro, Euro Due
Posted by Olivia Carrodus On Oct - 22 - 2010 0 Comment

The short term picture remains negative as the pair continued to consolidate around its record bottom. So far the drop is limited by the support at 80.88 and if broken successfully next targets will be expected at the psychological 80.00. On the upside, resistance is seen at 84.10, which coincides with the 50-days SMA, followed by 85.90 and 86.40.

Support 80.88 80.60 80.00
Resistance 84.10 85.90 88.10

Posted by Olivia Carrodus On Oct - 21 - 2010 0 Comment

***Economic Data***
– (CA) Canada Sept Consumer Price Index M/M: 0.2% v 0.1%e; Y/Y: 1.9% v 1.9%e
– (CA) Canada Sept CPI Core M/M: 0.2% v 0.3%e ; Y/Y: 1.5% v 1.6%e
– (CA) Canada Aug Retail Sales M/M: +0.5% v -0.1%e; Retail Sales Less Autos M/M: 0.4% v 0.5%e
– (BE) Belgium Oct Business Confidence: -2.8 v -3.8e
– (MX) Mexico Sept Preliminary Trade Balance: -$560M v -$911Me
– (MX) Mexico Sept Unemployment Rate: 5.7% v 5.4%e

– US equities are not gaining much momentum this morning as the major stock indices muddle along in thin volume. Full post…

Posted by Zac Wright On Oct - 20 - 2010 0 Comment

The U.S. Dollar Index slipped in Asian trading today, falling after yesterday’s surprise rate hike by the People’s Bank of China. As reported at 2:50 p.m. (JST), the U.S. Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback’s strength versus a basket of major currencies, traded at 78.011 .DXY, a decline of .2%; in yesterday’s trading session, and prior to the rate hike announcement, the Dollar Index had gained more than 1.6%.

In recent weeks, investors raised their stakes versus the greenback, on speculation that the Federal Reserve will soon launch additional quantitative easing measures; some analysts predict that move as soon as early November. One Fed

Full post…

Tags: Hike, Rate Hike
Posted by Zac Wright On Oct - 18 - 2010 0 Comment

 

Investors cutting their short U.S. Dollar positions helped to give the greenback some respite from the weeks’ lows. As reported at 12:44 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the U.S. Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback’s strength versus major currencies, pulled up off a 10-month low struck yesterday to trade at 76.697 .DXY, a .1% gain. Versus the Australian Dollar, the U.S. Dollar also managed to gain strength, trading at $0.9913, a .3% gain, and coming off the 28-year low struck yesterday.

Despite the recent slight gains, most players believe that the weakness in the U.S. Dollar

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